Jelena Ostapenko vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 6–4
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Liudmila Samsonova have met 5 times since 2020; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 3–1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 6 sets to Samsonova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 3, Samsonova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 6, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 29, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Sep 18, 2021
BGL Luxembourg Open - Luxembourg
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 21, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | +11.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | +1.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (29% vs Samsonova's 14%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | L 16 36 | L 36 64 67 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 62 60 | W 60 64 |
| Harriet Dart | W 63 36 64 | L 75 46 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 46 | L 36 57 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–41 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 44% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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