Jelena Ostapenko vs Linda NoskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇨🇿Linda Noskova
#8 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Linda Noskova have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Rothesay Classic - Birmingham in 2023 on grass. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Noskova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Linda Noskova won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Noskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Linda Noskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 61% | 25/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 34% | 20/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 52% | 22/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 97% | 36/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 68% | 25/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Noskova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Noskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2024
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 20, 2023
Rothesay Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Noskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Linda Noskova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -8.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -0.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Noskova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ostapenko's 50%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 62 | L 26 26 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 63 36 | W 63 75 |
| Paula Badosa | W 76 75 | W 61 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | W 64 61 |
| Taylah Preston | L 46 16 | W 62 46 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 61 | W 64 61 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 67 63 67 |
| Katie Volynets | W 64 76 | W 75 61 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 16 36 | W 67 64 64 |
| Shuai Zhang | L | W 57 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Viktorija Golubic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Elena Gabriela Ruse
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ann Li
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lanlana Tararudee
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Katie Volynets
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–59 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 69% |
| Sets won | 57% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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