Jelena Ostapenko vs Linda NoskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇨🇿Linda Noskova
#6 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
3Jelena Ostapenko and Linda Noskova have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Rothesay Classic - Birmingham in 2023 on grass. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Noskova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Linda Noskova won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Noskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Linda Noskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 61% | 25/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 35% | 21/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 53% | 21/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 95% | 36/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Noskova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Noskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2024
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 20, 2023
Rothesay Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Noskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Linda Noskova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | +41.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | +7.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Noskova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ostapenko's 60%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | L 16 36 | W 67 64 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 16 67 | W 26 63 76 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 61 | W 63 46 62 |
| Camila Osorio | W 63 61 | W 63 46 62 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 62 60 | W 75 64 |
| Ella Seidel | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | L 16 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | W 64 46 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Katie Boulter
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Madison Keys
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–60 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 68% |
| Sets won | 56% | 62% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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