Jazmin Ortenzi vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Jazmin Ortenzi
#155 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Jazmin Ortenzi and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2026; Paula Badosa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ortenzi has taken 1 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at SP Open - Sao Paulo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ortenzi | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jazmin Ortenzi | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 19/56 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 12/25 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 16/25 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ortenzi 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ortenzi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 17, 2026
SP Open - Sao Paulo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ortenzi | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jazmin Ortenzi | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ortenzi | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 4.89 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -40.7% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ortenzi | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | — | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | BRA → AUT | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Ortenzi's 0%).
| Opponent | Ortenzi | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Mary Stoiana | L 36 26 | W 64 62 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 26 | L 63 36 46 |
| Bianca Andreescu | L 36 57 | L 26 63 36 |
| Sinja Kraus | L 75 36 67 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W50 Burgas · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ilinca Dalina Amariei
W50 Burgas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Laura Mair
W50 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Paula Badosa
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Chloe Paquet
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mary Stoiana
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Katherine Sebov
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–56 matches
| Metric | Ortenzi | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 60% |
| Sets won | 56% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ortenzi | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ortenzi | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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