Jay Friend vs Yuta ShimizuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตJay Friend
#314 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
7w1 meeting ยท sets 1โ2

๐ฏ๐ตYuta Shimizu
#388 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
3Jay Friend and Yuta Shimizu have met 1 time since 2026; Yuta Shimizu leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Friend has taken 1 sets to Shimizu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yuta Shimizu won at Granby challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Friend | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jay Friend | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 6/11 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 15/33 | 39% | 19/49 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 73% | 19/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Friend 0, Shimizu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Friend
๐พ All-Court
Shimizu
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐พ All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 337 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jay Friend.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
Granby challenger
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Friend | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jay Friend | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Friend | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ2 | 6โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +3.1% | +8.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | +0.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Friend | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shimizu's 50%).
| Opponent | Friend | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Boulais | W 76 46 63 | L 57 16 |
| Michael Mmoh | W 62 76 | L 67 67 |
| Fajing Sun | W 62 62 | W 57 64 64 |
| Taro Daniel | W 64 75 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuta Shimizu
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Keegan Rice
M25 Laval ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Strong Kirchheimer
M25 Laval ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Cole Thurgur
M25 Laval ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Eloi Roux
M25 Laval ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Eloi Roux
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Braden Shick
Cary Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Anton Matusevich
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Liam Broady
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jay Friend
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Granby Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Ryan Colby
M25 Laval ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Michael Mmoh
Cary Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 33โ49 matches
| Metric | Friend | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 49% |
| Sets won | 62% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Friend | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Friend | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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