Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou BergsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชJan-Lennard Struff
#58 ยท 36 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2

๐ง๐ชZizou Bergs
#41 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Jan-Lennard Struff and Zizou Bergs have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group C, Hamburg in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Struff has taken 2 sets to Bergs's 2. Their most recent meeting: Zizou Bergs won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- European Open - Brussels
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 23 ยท 2:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.79 or longer, Jan-Lennard Struff has won 19 of 60 (32%). The price implied 28%, so Jan-Lennard Struff has beaten it by 4 points.
At 1.44 or shorter, Zizou Bergs has won 68 of 87 (78%). The price implied 73%, so Zizou Bergs has beaten it by 5 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Zizou Bergs and Jan-Lennard Struff meet in the quarterfinals of the European Open in Brussels on October 23 on hard court. Bergs, ranked 41st, carries momentum into the match after winning two straight and posting a 4-1 record over his last five matches. Struff sits at 58th and has also won his last two, though he comes in with a steadier 3-2 mark in the same span.
The head-to-head record between them stands even at 1-1. Bergs has won 11 of 20 hard court matches in his recent sample, a 55% clip, while Jan-Lennard Struff has converted 9 of 20 for 45%. Both players defeated Jaime Faria and Vit Kopriva in recent outings, but they have struggled identically against higher-ranked opposition like Jiri Lehecka and Botic van de Zandschulp.
Bergs hits through the court with aggression and relies on his power to dictate points from the baseline. Struff builds his game around his serve as his primary weapon and tends to shorten rallies whenever possible. On hard court, where Bergs sustains his win rate above 50% and Struff operates below it, the question becomes whether Bergs can maintain his aggressive rhythm or whether Struff's service game can neutralize that approach and create space for his own weapons.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Struff | Bergs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan-Lennard Struff | Zizou Bergs | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/47 | 34% | 17/50 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 10/26 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 16/24 | 75% | 18/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Struff 1, Bergs 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
๐ค Servebot
Bergs
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,872 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 16, 2022
Davis Cup, Group C, Hamburg
H Hard ยท Rubber 1
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Struff | Bergs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan-Lennard Struff | Zizou Bergs | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ5 | 10โ8 |
| Avg odds | 2.72 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -5.8% | +20.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.64u | +3.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Struff | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 6,262 mi ยท 10,077 km | 6,691 mi ยท 10,768 km |
| Route | CHN โ BEL | JPN โ CHN โ BEL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bergs has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Struff's 20%).
| Opponent | Struff | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Vit Kopriva | L 64 26 62 36 16 | W 63 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 36 | L 36 76 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 61 16 | L 63 67 64 67 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 46 | L 46 64 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 76 46 26 75 | W 36 63 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 16 63 16 | W 63 26 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 67 36 | L 46 26 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 67 76 75 42 | L 76 67 36 36 |
| Jaime Faria | L 57 67 26 | W 76 46 62 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 26 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Gauthier Onclin
European Open - Brussels ยท 2nd Round
Oct 21
Marcos Giron
European Open - Brussels ยท 1st Round
Oct 20
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Damir Dzumhur
European Open - Brussels ยท 2nd Round
Oct 22
Toby Samuel
European Open - Brussels ยท 1st Round
Oct 20
Tommy Paul
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 4th Round
Oct 14
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 12
Ignacio Buse
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Vit Kopriva
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 57โ58 matches
| Metric | Struff | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 53% |
| Sets won | 52% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Struff | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Struff | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |