Jacob Fearnley vs Luka PavlovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Luka Pavlovic have met 1 time since 2026; Jacob Fearnley leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 2 sets to Pavlovic's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 24/54 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 17/41 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 14/26 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 23/24 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 0, Pavlovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pavlovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luka Pavlovic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +0.1% | -13.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.01u | -2.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,414 mi · 3,885 km |
| Route | POR | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Fearnley and Pavlovic posted a 86% win rate.
| Opponent | Fearnley | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | W 62 63 | W 76 46 76 |
| Keegan Smith | W 46 75 64 | W 62 76 |
| Adam Walton | W 57 76 64 | W 63 75 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 63 63 | W 62 64 |
| Mark Lajal | W 75 36 61 | W 64 64 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 26 76 26 | L 36 67 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 76 63 | W 76 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Kangyuan Shi
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Thomas Fancutt
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Akira Santillan
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Ha Minh Duc Vu
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–60 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 49% |
| Sets won | 53% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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