Jacob Fearnley vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Luca Nardi have met 1 time since 2026; Jacob Fearnley leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 2 sets to Nardi's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at Ilkley Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 24/54 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 17/41 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 14/26 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 23/24 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 0, Nardi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 10, 2026
Ilkley Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | +0.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.01u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Nardi's 14%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | W 62 63 | L 46 16 |
| Remy Bertola | W 64 64 | L 63 67 67 |
| Martin Damm | L | L 36 67 |
| Arthur Bouquier | L 36 26 | L 46 64 67 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 36 63 107 | W 63 60 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 67 61 36 | L 57 63 46 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 46 76 36 | L 76 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andrea Guerrieri
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–60 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 45% |
| Sets won | 53% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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