Jacob Fearnley vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Luca Nardi have met 1 time since 2026; Jacob Fearnley leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 2 sets to Nardi's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at Ilkley Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 16/30 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 23/50 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 14/37 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 20/20 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 0, Nardi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🎾 All-Court
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 195 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 10, 2026
Ilkley Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Luca Nardi | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 24/25 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 12/25 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.62u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Nardi's 13%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | W 62 63 | L 46 16 |
| Remy Bertola | W 64 64 | L 63 67 67 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 67 64 26 | L 36 67 |
| Arthur Bouquier | L 36 26 | L 46 64 67 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 36 63 107 | W 63 60 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 67 61 36 | L 57 63 46 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 46 76 36 | L 76 36 26 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 75 62 | L 06 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–54 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 44% |
| Sets won | 53% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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