Jacob Fearnley vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Joao Fonseca have met 3 times since 2025; Joao Fonseca leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Canberra Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Fonseca leads 2–0. Fonseca has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 1 sets to Fonseca's 7. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 16/30 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 23/50 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 14/37 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 20/20 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 0, Fonseca 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🎾 All-Court
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 6, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2025
Canberra Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 24/25 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 12/25 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–7 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | -21.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.62u | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Fearnley and Fonseca posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Fearnley | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 63 36 | L 46 36 67 |
| Jaume Munar | L 46 67 46 | W 76 75 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 62 | L 26 26 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 76 63 | L 63 36 67 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 67 64 26 | W 76 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 61 67 | L 57 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–54 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 63% |
| Sets won | 53% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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