Ilya Ivashka vs Yi ZhouPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Zhangjiagang Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 30 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.68 or shorter, Ilya Ivashka has won 54 of 87 matches, 62% against a fair-price expectation of 61%.
Priced around 1.97 or longer, Yi Zhou has won 8 of 30 matches, 27% against a fair-price expectation of 38%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Ilya Ivashka and Yi Zhou meet next at the Zhangjiagang Challenger on August 30 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ivashka | Zhou | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilya Ivashka | Yi Zhou | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 11/19 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 38% | 20/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 9/18 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 17/18 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ivashka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Zhou
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Ivashka and Zhou have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ivashka | Zhou | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilya Ivashka | Yi Zhou | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -30.6% | -20.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.75u | -3.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ivashka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Zhou's 50%).
| Opponent | Ivashka | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Tiago Pereira | W 76 26 76 | L 75 67 36 |
| Sanhui Shin | W 63 63 | W 76 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ergi Kirkin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aziz Ouakaa
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Iliyan Radulov
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Michael Geerts
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Stefan Kozlov
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Alastair Gray
Nottingham 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Daniel De Jonge
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Robin Catry
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–54 matches
| Metric | Ivashka | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 52% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |