Ilya Ivashka vs Rodrigo FernandesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ilya Ivashka and Rodrigo Fernandes have met 1 time since 2026; Ilya Ivashka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ivashka has taken 2 sets to Fernandes's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ilya Ivashka won at M25 Lourinha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ivashka | Fernandes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilya Ivashka | Rodrigo Fernandes | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 11/19 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 9/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 67% | 6/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ivashka 1, Fernandes 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ivashka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Fernandes
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ilya Ivashka.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
M25 Lourinha
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ivashka | Fernandes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilya Ivashka | Rodrigo Fernandes | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | -30.6% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.75u | +3.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ergi Kirkin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aziz Ouakaa
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Iliyan Radulov
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Semifinals
Aug 22
Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tomas Quesada Perez
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Patrick Schoen
M25 Figueira da Foz · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–31 matches
| Metric | Ivashka | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 58% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ivashka | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ivashka | Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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