Ilya Ivashka vs Luca CastelnuovoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ilya Ivashka and Luca Castelnuovo have met 1 time since 2026; Ilya Ivashka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ivashka has taken 2 sets to Castelnuovo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ilya Ivashka won at Shanghai Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ivashka | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilya Ivashka | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 18/44 | 25% | 13/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 17/30 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 28/29 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 83% | 24/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ivashka 1, Castelnuovo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ivashka
👑 The Complete Package
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luca Castelnuovo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 12, 2026
Shanghai Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ivashka | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilya Ivashka | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | +9.1% | +45.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +6.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 765 mi · 1,231 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Ivashka and Castelnuovo posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Ivashka | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Akira Santillan | W 64 46 61 | L 36 63 67 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 26 46 | W 75 64 |
| Agustin Siancha Borlenghi | W 64 63 | W 64 62 |
| S D Prajwal Dev | W 63 62 | L 36 46 |
| Oliver Crawford | L 16 46 | W 16 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kaichi Uchida
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Beibit Zhukayev
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tung-Lin Wu
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–55 matches
| Metric | Ivashka | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 55% |
| Sets won | 64% | 55% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ivashka | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ivashka | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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