Ilia Simakin vs Ilya IvashkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Zhangjiagang Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 3 · 11:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.73 or shorter, Ilia Simakin has won 23 of 30 matches, 77% against a fair-price expectation of 63%.
Priced around 2.02 or longer, Ilya Ivashka has won 23 of 54 matches, 43% against a fair-price expectation of 38%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Ilya Ivashka and Ilia Simakin meet in the quarterfinals of the Zhangjiajiang Challenger on September 3 on hard court. Ivashka ranks No. 393, while Simakin sits at No. 275. The two have never faced each other.
Both players arrive in identical form, each carrying two-match winning streaks and identical records of 4-1 over their last five matches. Ivashka has won seven of his last ten; Simakin has done the same. On hard court more broadly, Ivashka has compiled a 75% win rate, compared to Simakin's 60%. In recent head-to-head matchups against common opponents, results have split: Ivashka defeated Kuan-Yi Lee while Simakin fell to him, but Simakin prevailed against both Manas Dhamne and Petr Bar Biryukov, where Ivashka lost to each.
Ivashka operates as a counterpuncher, building points through reaction and positioning rather than aggression from the baseline. Ilia Simakin, by contrast, constructs points across the court with a more complete toolkit. On hard court, Ivashka's defensive approach has produced substantially better results than Simakin's all-around game. The question is whether Simakin can dictate play early enough to prevent Ivashka from settling into rhythm.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Simakin | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilia Simakin | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 51% | 20/39 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 30/67 | 44% | 16/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 17/39 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 20/32 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Simakin
👑 The Complete Package
Ivashka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,543 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ilia Simakin.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Simakin and Ivashka have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Simakin | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilia Simakin | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Simakin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | +2.1% | -6.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | -0.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Simakin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 4,892 mi · 7,873 km | 4,900 mi · 7,886 km |
| Route | TUR → CHN | POL → CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Simakin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Ivashka's 50%).
| Opponent | Simakin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Yi Zhou | W 75 64 | W 36 76 63 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | W 76 46 75 | L 67 64 46 |
| Kuan-Yi Lee | L 46 64 67 | W 62 60 |
| Manas Dhamne | W 63 62 | L 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Dellavedova
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Denis Yevseyev
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lucas Poullain
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Antoine Ghibaudo
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Florent Bax
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Fajing Sun
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Adrian Boitan
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Lautaro Midon
Iasi Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Akira Santillan
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yi Zhou
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ergi Kirkin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oscar Weightman
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Melvin Kumar
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–67 matches
| Metric | Simakin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 68% |
| Sets won | 54% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |