Iga Swiatek vs Xinyu GaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇳Xinyu Gao
#220 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Xinyu Gao have met 1 time since 2026; Iga Swiatek leads 1–0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 2 sets to Gao's 0. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Gao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Xinyu Gao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 33/42 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 10/16 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 29% | 16/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 32/56 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 1, Gao 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Gao
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 3, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Gao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Xinyu Gao | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–3 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | +1.3% | -14.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,970 mi · 9,608 km |
| Route | ROU | GEO → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Gao's 0%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Xiyu Wang | W 62 63 | L 36 06 |
| Janice Tjen | W 60 63 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Panna Udvardy
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisca Jorge
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 1st Round
Sep 15
Sofia Johnson
W50 Evora · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Elena Micic
W50 Evora · 1st Round
Sep 9
Barbora Palicova
W75 Bytom · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W75 Bytom · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Zongyu Li
W75 Bytom · 1st Round
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–58 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 58% |
| Sets won | 70% | 58% |
| Games won | 60% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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