Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ฑIga Swiatek
#9 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5 meetings ยท sets 10โ1

๐ท๐บLiudmila Samsonova
#43 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Liudmila Samsonova have met 5 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 5โ0. Their first meeting came at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Swiatek leads 3โ0. Swiatek has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swiatek leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 10 sets to Samsonova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 33/42 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 10/16 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 32/56 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 46% | 13/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 4, Samsonova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
๐ The Complete Package
Samsonova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 9, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 2, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Oct 8, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท Final
Feb 22, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Apr 23, 2022
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15โ3 | 10โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +1.3% | +20.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | +3.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 7,530 mi ยท 12,118 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Samsonova's 20%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 67 36 | L 61 36 06 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 62 60 | L 64 46 26 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 36 61 62 | W 46 62 75 |
| Kayla Day | W 60 76 | W 76 26 76 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 76 76 | L 64 67 46 |
| Maya Joint | W 61 61 | L 63 26 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 64 46 | L 36 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | W | L 46 64 46 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 62 46 16 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | L 63 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 44โ58 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 45% |
| Sets won | 70% | 50% |
| Games won | 60% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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