Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 10–1
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Liudmila Samsonova have met 5 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Swiatek leads 3–0. Swiatek has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swiatek leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 10 sets to Samsonova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 35/44 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 34/59 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 35/45 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 4, Samsonova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 9, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Sep 2, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 8, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Final
Feb 22, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 23, 2022
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +11.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +1.81u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Samsonova's 50%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 64 46 | L 36 67 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 62 46 16 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 63 60 | W 61 75 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | L 63 36 26 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | L 36 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 46 64 46 |
| Maya Joint | W 61 61 | W 75 67 62 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 60 63 | W 61 75 |
| Janice Tjen | W 60 63 | W 76 75 |
| Madison Keys | W 61 62 | W 36 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–61 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 44% |
| Sets won | 70% | 48% |
| Games won | 60% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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