Hugo Gaston vs Ignacio BusePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Ignacio Buse have met 1 time since 2026; Ignacio Buse leads 1–0. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 0 sets to Buse's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ignacio Buse won at Bitpanda Hamburg Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Buse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Ignacio Buse | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 50% | 22/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 46% | 31/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 42% | 16/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 84% | 36/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 51% | 22/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Buse 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Buse
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ignacio Buse.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 17, 2026
Bitpanda Hamburg Open
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Buse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Ignacio Buse | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +7.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | +1.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Buse has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Gaston's 57%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | W 76 75 | W 63 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 57 | W 76 75 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | L 36 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 64 | W 75 67 61 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 16 46 26 | L 46 46 |
| Moez Echargui | W 61 57 62 64 | W 63 67 64 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 76 76 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Final
Aug 29
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Semifinals
Aug 28
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Daniel Altmaier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–70 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 64% |
| Sets won | 56% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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