Hiroki Moriya vs Kosuke OguraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตHiroki Moriya
#515 ยท 35 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ฏ๐ตKosuke Ogura
#815 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3Hiroki Moriya and Kosuke Ogura have met 1 time since 2026; Hiroki Moriya leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 2 sets to Ogura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hiroki Moriya won at M25 Taipei (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Ogura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Kosuke Ogura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 12/25 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 24% | 9/38 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 20/51 | 26% | 17/66 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 26% | 6/23 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 45% | 18/40 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 7/21 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 74% | 20/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 1, Ogura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler
Ogura
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler vs โ๏ธ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 173 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
M25 Taipei
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moriya | Ogura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hiroki Moriya | Kosuke Ogura | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ5 | 6โ11 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 3.04 |
| ROI % | -29.4% | +6.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | +1.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | TPE | CHN โ TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Moriya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Ogura's 25%).
| Opponent | Moriya | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | W 64 46 64 | L 36 36 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Sanhui Shin | W 75 63 | L 67 26 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 46 26 | W 64 61 |
| Moerani Bouzige | W 64 64 | L 67 46 |
| Shintaro Imai | W 36 76 61 | L 46 46 |
| Stefan Vujic | L 57 64 15 | W 76 46 63 |
| Christian Langmo | W 64 63 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Omar Jasika
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 20
Omar Jasika
M15 Tianjin ยท Final
Aug 16
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin ยท Semifinals
Aug 15
Duckhee Lee
M15 Tianjin ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Taiki Takizawa
M15 Brisbane ยท 1st Round
Jul 22
Jeremy Beale
M25 Brisbane ยท 1st Round
Jul 15
Jeremy Beale
Futures 2026
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ66 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 42% |
| Sets won | 47% | 44% |
| Games won | 49% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.