Hernan Casanova vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hernan Casanova and Nicolas Mejia have met 3 times since 2021; Nicolas Mejia leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Salinas Challenger in 2021 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Casanova has taken 2 sets to Mejia's 5. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Mejia won at Bogota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Casanova | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hernan Casanova | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 29/37 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 14% | 4/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 15/53 | 30% | 20/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 17/31 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 10/12 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 29/37 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Casanova 0, Mejia 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Casanova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Mejia.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 10, 2022
Coquimbo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 22, 2021
Salinas Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Casanova | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hernan Casanova | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| 1 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Casanova | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -2.8% | +36.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.47u | +6.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Casanova | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | BUL | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mejia has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Casanova's 50%).
| Opponent | Casanova | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Heide | L 16 36 | W 64 63 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 36 26 | W 64 62 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | L 26 36 | L 46 36 |
| Alex Hernandez | W 62 46 62 | W 63 67 63 |
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 62 46 62 | W 63 67 63 |
| Juan Sebastian Gomez | W 63 63 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M25 Denia · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Jordi Garcia Mestre
M25 Denia · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ignacio Monzon
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Quito Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Quito Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Landaluce
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–70 matches
| Metric | Casanova | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 59% |
| Sets won | 67% | 54% |
| Games won | 57% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Casanova | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Casanova | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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