Hayato Matsuoka vs Hiroki MoriyaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hayato Matsuoka and Hiroki Moriya have met 1 time since 2026; Hayato Matsuoka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Matsuoka has taken 2 sets to Moriya's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hayato Matsuoka won at Lincoln Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuoka | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayato Matsuoka | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 34/47 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 23/76 | 39% | 20/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 24/43 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 34/42 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuoka 1, Moriya 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuoka
🎾 All-Court
Moriya
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 96 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hayato Matsuoka.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
Lincoln Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuoka | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayato Matsuoka | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.73 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | +14.6% | -29.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.63u | -2.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | KAZ | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Matsuoka and Moriya posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Matsuoka | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 36 67 | L 26 26 |
| Koki Matsuda | W 63 64 | W 46 64 60 |
| Uisung Park | W 76 63 | W 62 61 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 46 57 | L 46 26 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 57 62 75 | W 64 26 62 |
| Omar Jasika | W 63 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Tai Sach | W 75 62 | W 67 60 64 |
| Li Tu | L 36 67 | W 16 64 76 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | L 46 75 46 | L 26 16 |
| James McCabe | W 75 64 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fajing Sun
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Koki Matsuda
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
J.J. Wolf
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Shintaro Mochizuki
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yosuke Watanuki
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–76 matches
| Metric | Matsuoka | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 49% |
| Sets won | 59% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuoka | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuoka | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.