Harriet Dart vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Harriet Dart
#115 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
42 meetings · sets 3–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#61 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Harriet Dart and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Dart has taken 3 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at United Cup - Australia (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou
- Level
- WTA 250
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 29 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.30 or shorter, Paula Badosa has won 80 of 94 (85%). The price implied 79%, so Paula Badosa has beaten it by 6 points.
At 3.48 or longer, Harriet Dart has won 11 of 51 (22%). That is level with the 21% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Harriet Dart meets Paula Badosa in the quarterfinals of the Guangzhou Open on October 29, with both players coming off quick turnarounds on hard court. Dart is ranked 115th, while Badosa sits at 61st. The two have split their two career meetings, leaving the head-to-head even at one win apiece.
Dart has built substantial momentum at this event, winning four straight and posting an 80% win rate over her last ten matches. She has won 15 of her last 20 hard court contests overall. Badosa has steadied after some inconsistency, now on a two-match winning streak with a 60% record over her last ten. Their recent résumés diverge most notably against Maria Sakkari, whom Dart lost to while Badosa defeated, though both fell to Iva Jovic and Jelena Ostapenko in the past weeks.
Both players construct points across the court with solid all-around skills rather than a dominant single weapon. Dart's 75% recent hard court record reflects her ability to manage the surface's demands consistently. Badosa carries a lower 60% conversion rate on hard but has proven capable of raising her level in key moments. The match will turn on Dart's ability to maintain the form that has carried her this deep in the draw against a rival whose experience at the top rankings could prove decisive in a quarterfinal setting.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dart | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Harriet Dart | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 20/41 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 11/23 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 32/64 | 31% | 15/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 16/38 | 53% | 21/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 16/24 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 20/35 | 81% | 22/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dart 1, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dart
👑 The Complete Package
Badosa
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Harriet Dart and Paula Badosa are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,112 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 1, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 10, 2022
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dart | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Harriet Dart | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dart | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | +21.0% | -13.6% |
| Units P/L | +4.20u | -1.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dart | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,666 mi · 4,290 km | 2,666 mi · 4,290 km |
| Route | ROU → SUI → ROU | ROU → SUI → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (20% vs Dart's 0%).
| Opponent | Dart | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | L 62 36 36 | L 26 16 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 36 63 46 | L 67 57 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 26 26 | L 63 36 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 16 26 | W 63 64 |
| Lilli Tagger | L 46 26 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Tatiana Prozorova
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 1st Round
Oct 26
Mei Yamaguchi
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Cheuk Ying Shek
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 24
Talia Gibson
Japan Open - Osaka · 1st Round
Oct 19
Aoi Ito
Japan Open - Osaka · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Rina Saigo
Japan Open - Osaka · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sinja Kraus
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Carol Young Suh Lee
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · 1st Round
Oct 26
Antonia Ruzic
Japan Open - Osaka · 1st Round
Oct 20
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–66 matches
| Metric | Dart | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 60% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dart | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dart | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |