Hailey Baptiste vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈHailey Baptiste
#45 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
20w32 meetings Β· sets 1β4

π¬π§Katie Boulter
#54 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Hailey Baptiste and Katie Boulter have met 2 times since 2020; Katie Boulter leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Oracle Challenger Series - Indian Wells in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Boulter leads 2β0. Boulter has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Baptiste has taken 1 sets to Boulter's 4. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baptiste | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hailey Baptiste | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 17/31 | 36% | 15/42 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 8/16 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baptiste 0, Boulter 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baptiste
π€ Servebot
Boulter
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 24, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Mar 2, 2020
Oracle Challenger Series - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3β5 |
| Avg odds | - | 3.03 |
| ROI % | - | -36.1% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 1 |
| Events | β | 1 |
| Matches | β | 2 |
| Distance | β | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | β | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Baptiste has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Boulter's 40%).
| Opponent | Baptiste | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 67 62 26 | W 75 26 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 26 | L 57 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 61 67 63 | L 06 57 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 75 63 | L 60 36 36 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 67 63 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris Β· 2nd Round
May 27
Barbora Krejcikova
French Open - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 24
Elina Svitolina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome Β· 3rd Round
May 10
Simona Waltert
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome Β· 2nd Round
May 8
Mirra Andreeva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· Semifinals
Apr 30
Aryna Sabalenka
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· Quarterfinals
Apr 28
Belinda Bencic
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 4th Round
Apr 27
Jasmine Paolini
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 3rd Round
Apr 25
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 31β42 matches
| Metric | Baptiste | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baptiste | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baptiste | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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