Grigor Dimitrov vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Kei Nishikori have met 4 times since 2016; Kei Nishikori leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Canada in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 2–1. Nishikori has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Dimitrov leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 4 sets to Nishikori's 7. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Brisbane (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 4/14 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 0, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Grigor Dimitrov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 4, 2019
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 8, 2017
Brisbane
H Hard · Final
Jul 22, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dimitrov | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Grigor Dimitrov | Kei Nishikori | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -56.8% | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.54u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–33 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 52% |
| Sets won | 46% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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