Greet Minnen vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Greet Minnen
#235 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5w2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Greet Minnen and Jelena Ostapenko have met 2 times since 2023; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2023 on grass. On grass courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Minnen has taken 0 sets to Ostapenko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Minnen | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Greet Minnen | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 21/25 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 3/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 7/41 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Minnen 0, Ostapenko 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minnen
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Greet Minnen and Jelena Ostapenko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 24, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Jul 5, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minnen | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Greet Minnen | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.31 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -37.2% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Minnen's 50%).
| Opponent | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Volynets | L 36 26 | W 64 76 |
| Ella Seidel | W 61 26 60 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Teresa Franco Dias
W50 Evora · 1st Round
Sep 8
Jeline Vandromme
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Isabella Shinikova
W75 Ourense · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W75 Ourense · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Sahaja Yamalapalli
W75 Ourense · 1st Round
Aug 5
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 57% |
| Sets won | 60% | 57% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.