Greet Minnen vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Greet Minnen
#176 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3w2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Greet Minnen and Jelena Ostapenko have met 2 times since 2023; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2023 on grass. On grass courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Minnen has taken 0 sets to Ostapenko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Minnen | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Greet Minnen | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 21/26 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 9/40 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 4/10 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Minnen 0, Ostapenko 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minnen
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 24, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Jul 5, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minnen | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Greet Minnen | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.38 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.12u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ESP | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Minnen's 33%).
| Opponent | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Volynets | L 36 26 | W 64 76 |
| Ella Seidel | W 61 26 60 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 67 76 57 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W75 Ourense · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Sahaja Yamalapalli
W75 Ourense · 1st Round
Aug 5
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Madison Brengle
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Darja Vidmanova
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 2nd Round
Jul 10
Mei Yamaguchi
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round
Jul 9
Iryna Shymanovich
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–41 matches
| Metric | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 56% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minnen | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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