Gastao Elias vs Tiago CacaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gastao Elias and Tiago Cacao have met 2 times since 2021; Gastao Elias leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Maia 1 Challenger in 2021 on clay. Elias has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Elias has taken 4 sets to Cacao's 1. Their most recent meeting: Gastao Elias won at M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 2 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elias | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gastao Elias | Tiago Cacao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 92% | 11/12 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 4/21 | 38% | 24/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 9/13 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/3 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elias 1, Cacao 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Elias
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cacao
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gastao Elias.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 19, 2026
M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 2
H Hard · 2nd Round
Dec 9, 2021
Maia 1 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Elias | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 13–12 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.03 |
| ROI % | - | -14.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Elias | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Elias and Cacao posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Elias | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Deckers | W 62 62 | W 67 64 60 |
| Joao Domingues | L 67 36 | L 36 46 |
| Tiago Pereira | L | W 67 64 63 |
| Carles Rojas | W 62 64 | W 61 61 |
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | W 64 63 | L 26 64 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiago Pereira
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Joao Domingues
M25 Loule · 2nd Round
May 7
Carles Rojas
M25 Loule · 1st Round
May 6
John Echeverria
M25 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Ids Waterbolk
M25 Quinta do Lago · Round of 32
Apr 29
Ids Waterbolk
M25 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Apr 28
Joel Schwaerzler
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 13
Lui Maxted
M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 2 · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Sergi Perez Contri
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Milos Karol
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Robin Bertrand
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 22
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Semifinals
Sep 19
Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Tiago Torres
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–65 matches
| Metric | Elias | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 54% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Elias | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Elias | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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