Garbine Muguruza vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Garbine Muguruza
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
193w5 meetings · sets 7–5
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Garbine Muguruza and Jelena Ostapenko have met 5 times since 2016; Garbine Muguruza leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. On clay courts Muguruza leads 2–0. Across all meetings Muguruza has taken 7 sets to Ostapenko's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muguruza | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Garbine Muguruza | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 71% | 17/24 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 56% | 10/18 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 40% | 17/42 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 57% | 13/23 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 65% | 11/17 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 3/6 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 69% | 18/26 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 65% | 17/26 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muguruza 2, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muguruza
🤖 Servebot
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 24, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 25, 2017
Singapore
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 29, 2017
Wuhan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 17, 2017
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
May 12, 2016
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muguruza | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.89 |
| ROI % | - | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muguruza | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Open 6 Sens - Lyon · 1st Round
Jan 30
Elise Mertens
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 17
Belinda Bencic
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 9
Bianca Andreescu
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 1
Liudmila Samsonova
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 23
Despina Papamichail
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 21
Petra Kvitova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 3
Linda Fruhvirtova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 1
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Muguruza | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 57% |
| Sets won | - | 57% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muguruza | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muguruza | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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