Gael Monfils vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gael Monfils and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 4 times since 2015; Gael Monfils leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2015 on grass. On hard courts Monfils leads 2–1. Across all meetings Monfils has taken 7 sets to Busta's 2. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Moselle Open - Metz (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Monfils | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gael Monfils | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 5/11 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Monfils 2, Carreno Busta 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Monfils
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2021
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 6, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 5, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 30, 2015
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Monfils | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.85 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +19.0% | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.57u | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Monfils | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monfils has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Busta's 0%).
| Opponent | Monfils | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 36 46 | L 63 57 57 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 67 61 64 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Tallon Griekspoor
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 1st Round
Apr 5
Felix Auger-Aliassime
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–65 matches
| Metric | Monfils | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 65% |
| Sets won | 42% | 60% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Monfils | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Monfils | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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