Gabriel Diallo vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gabriel Diallo and Luca Nardi have met 1 time since 2025; Gabriel Diallo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Diallo has taken 3 sets to Nardi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Gabriel Diallo won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diallo | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriel Diallo | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 9/14 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 13/34 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 8/21 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Diallo
🤖 Servebot
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Diallo | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriel Diallo | Luca Nardi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Diallo | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -35.0% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Diallo | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Diallo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nardi's 0%).
| Opponent | Diallo | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 67 63 62 | L 57 63 46 |
| Yibing Wu | W 62 76 | L 57 64 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kyrian Jacquet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Tristan Boyer
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Benjamin Bonzi
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Terence Atmane
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–41 matches
| Metric | Diallo | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 44% |
| Sets won | 44% | 50% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Diallo | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Diallo | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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