Francesco Passaro vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francesco Passaro and Lorenzo Sonego have met 1 time since 2024; Francesco Passaro leads 1–0. Across all meetings Passaro has taken 2 sets to Sonego's 0. Their most recent meeting: Francesco Passaro won at Turin Challenger (2024).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Genoa Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 7 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.69 or shorter, Lorenzo Sonego has won 82 of 137 (60%). The price implied 63%, so Lorenzo Sonego has fallen 3 points short of it.
At 2.10 or longer, Francesco Passaro has won 26 of 64 (41%). The price implied 38%, so Francesco Passaro has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Francesco Passaro and Lorenzo Sonego meet in the 1st Round of the Genoa Challenger on September 7 on clay. Passaro is ranked 207th while Sonego sits at 89th, a gap that reflects their recent trajectories on the circuit.
Passaro leads their head-to-head 1-0 from one prior meeting. On clay over a recent sample, Passaro has won 8 of 20 matches at 40%, while Sonego has managed 6 wins in 20 attempts at 30%. Passaro has taken three of his last five matches following a loss three days ago; Sonego has won just two of his last five and arrives on a two-match losing streak after four days away.
Both players rely heavily on serving as their primary weapon. Passaro's clay record sits slightly ahead of Sonego's, though neither has posted a strong win rate on the surface in recent play. The match will demand execution on return of serve and opportunities in extended rallies, where consistency becomes the separator.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Passaro | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Passaro | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/51 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 14/36 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 16/22 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 20/34 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Passaro 1, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Passaro
🤖 Servebot
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Francesco Passaro and Lorenzo Sonego are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,408 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 18, 2024
Turin Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Passaro | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Passaro | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 18% | 3/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Passaro | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 6–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.89 |
| ROI % | -16.7% | -37.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.84u | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Passaro | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 4,246 mi · 6,834 km | 777 mi · 1,250 km |
| Route | ITA → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Passaro and Sonego posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Passaro | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Choinski | L 36 46 | W 46 64 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 75 57 46 | L 36 36 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 61 57 64 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jesper de Jong
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Shintaro Mochizuki
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Tom Gentzsch
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Felix Gill
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Oriol Roca Batalla
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jan Choinski
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches
| Metric | Passaro | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 43% |
| Sets won | 55% | 44% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Passaro | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Passaro | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |