Francesco Passaro vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Francesco Passaro
#229 · 25 yrs · R
5Title2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇧🇬Grigor Dimitrov
#127 · 35 yrs · R
3wFrancesco Passaro and Grigor Dimitrov have met 2 times since 2025; Francesco Passaro leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2025 on hard. Passaro has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Passaro has taken 4 sets to Dimitrov's 0. Their most recent meeting: Francesco Passaro won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Passaro | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Passaro | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/49 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 16/22 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 20/33 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Passaro 2, Dimitrov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Passaro
💥 Big Hitter
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Passaro | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Passaro | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Passaro | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | +9.5% | -50.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Passaro | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ITA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Passaro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Dimitrov's 33%).
| Opponent | Passaro | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Elmer Moller | W 76 63 | W 67 63 64 |
| Jaime Faria | W 63 36 63 | L 63 57 67 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Yanaki Milev
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Oriol Roca Batalla
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alejandro Juan Mano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Juan Pablo Varillas
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Lorenzo Sonego
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–50 matches
| Metric | Passaro | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 42% |
| Sets won | 57% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Passaro | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Passaro | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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