Francesca Jones vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Francesca Jones
#104 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Francesca Jones and Jelena Ostapenko have met 1 time since 2026; Jelena Ostapenko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Jones has taken 0 sets to Ostapenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jones | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesca Jones | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 19/45 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 5/13 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Jones 0, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jones
👑 The Complete Package
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Francesca Jones and Jelena Ostapenko are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jones | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesca Jones | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 26% | 5/19 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jones | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jones | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Jones's 0%).
| Opponent | Jones | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Panna Udvardy | L 46 64 36 | W 36 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alice Rame
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Chloe Paquet
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Fiona Ferro
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Final
Jul 26
Alevtina Ibragimova
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jennifer Ruggeri
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Darya Astakhova
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–45 matches
| Metric | Jones | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jones | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jones | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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