Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Felipe Meligeni Alves
#459 · 28 yrs · R
Title3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇧🇷Thiago Monteiro
#275 · 32 yrs · L
4wFelipe Meligeni Alves and Thiago Monteiro have met 3 times since 2020; Thiago Monteiro leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Punta Del Este Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alves has taken 2 sets to Monteiro's 5. Their most recent meeting: Felipe Meligeni Alves won at Buenos Aires (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Meligeni Alves | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Meligeni Alves 0, Monteiro 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
🪃 Counterpuncher
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2025
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 22, 2024
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 1, 2020
Punta Del Este Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +2.8% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.39u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | BRA → MEX | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Alves's 33%).
| Opponent | Alves | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | W 64 57 64 | W 62 62 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L 36 16 | L 63 46 57 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 63 36 | W 36 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · Final
Aug 8
Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina · Semifinals
Aug 7
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo · Final
Jul 26
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M25 Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–47 matches
| Metric | Alves | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 53% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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