Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Felipe Meligeni Alves
#459 · 28 yrs · R
Title2 meetings · sets 2–4
🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald
#146 · 31 yrs · R
4Felipe Meligeni Alves and Mackenzie McDonald have met 2 times since 2020; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Istanbul in 2020 on hard. McDonald has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alves has taken 2 sets to McDonald's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Wimbledon (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Meligeni Alves | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Meligeni Alves 0, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
🪃 Counterpuncher
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Wimbledon
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 1, 2020
Istanbul
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +2.8% | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.39u | -2.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → MEX | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Alves and McDonald posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Alves | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W 64 63 | L 26 26 |
| Jaime Faria | L 26 63 26 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · Final
Aug 8
Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina · Semifinals
Aug 7
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo · Final
Jul 26
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M25 Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–53 matches
| Metric | Alves | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 49% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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