Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Joaquin Aguilar CardozoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Felipe Meligeni Alves and Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo have met 1 time since 2026; Felipe Meligeni Alves leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Felipe Meligeni Alves won at Sao Leopoldo Challenger (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 6:30 PM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.66 or shorter, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has won 16 of 20 (80%). The price implied 63%, so Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has beaten it by 17 points.
At 2.13 or longer, Felipe Meligeni Alves has won 28 of 77 (36%). That is level with the 38% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo meets Felipe Meligeni Alves in the 1st Round of the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger on October 12. The clay court contest pits the world number 342 against the number 453, both seeking early momentum in Bolivia.
Meligeni Alves holds a 1-0 head-to-head record. Both players have split their last five matches, though Aguilar Cardozo has steadier form over a longer window, winning eight of his last ten compared to Meligeni Alves at four of ten. The two faced Bastian Malla, Carlos Maria Zarate, Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas, and Juan Pablo Varillas recently, each winning those contests.
On clay, Aguilar Cardozo has compiled an 18-2 record in recent play. Meligeni Alves brings 16-4 on the surface, preferring a reactive, counterattacking approach that thrives on rhythm disruption. Aguilar Cardozo operates as a forceful, aggressive baseline player who relies on pace and sustained pressure. The match will test whether Meligeni Alves can neutralize Aguilar Cardozo's intensity or if Aguilar Cardozo can maintain the relentless play that has defined his clay performance.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Meligeni Alves | Aguilar Cardozo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 75% | 39/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 10/40 | 26% | 17/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 73% | 32/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 96% | 47/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cardozo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felipe Meligeni Alves.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 31, 2026
Sao Leopoldo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Cardozo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 58% | 15/26 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 4% | 1/26 |
| 5 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/26 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 23–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.35 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | +22.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.79u | +5.56u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cardozo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Alves's 70%).
| Opponent | Alves | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Midon | L 26 26 | L 67 62 67 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | W 63 61 | W 62 64 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 64 64 | W 63 06 63 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | W 64 62 | W 62 61 |
| Maximo Zeitune | W 36 62 63 | W 64 60 |
| Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Bastian Malla | W 36 76 63 | W 62 75 |
| Matias Soto | W 63 60 | L 36 46 |
| Hernan Casanova | L 67 57 | W 57 62 64 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | L | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Nick Hardt
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Juan Pablo Varillas
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Gustavo Heide
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Carlos Maria Zarate
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Lautaro Midon
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicolas Villalon
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Santiago De La Fuente
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alex Barrena
Buenos Aires Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Pablo Varillas
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Francisco Comesana
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Carlos Maria Zarate
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–66 matches
| Metric | Alves | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 79% |
| Sets won | 58% | 72% |
| Games won | 53% | 61% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |