Federico Coria vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Coria and Thiago Monteiro have met 4 times since 2019; Thiago Monteiro leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Lima in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Monteiro leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Coria has taken 3 sets to Monteiro's 7. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Coria | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Coria | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 4/6 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 3/14 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 4/4 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Coria 0, Monteiro 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 399 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 16, 2024
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 7, 2023
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 2, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 27, 2019
Lima
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Coria | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Coria | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Coria | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.91 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -9.0% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.72u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Coria | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | — | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Coria's 0%).
| Opponent | Coria | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Vilius Gaubas | L 46 16 | L 67 67 |
| Nicolas Kicker | L 57 36 | W 36 62 63 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 46 16 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Taro Daniel
Bastad
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon
Jun 22
Nicolas Kicker
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–47 matches
| Metric | Coria | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 53% |
| Sets won | 42% | 53% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Coria | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Coria | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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