Federico Coria vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Federico Coria
#897 · 34 yrs · R
5w5 meetings · sets 3–8
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wFederico Coria and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 5 times since 2016; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Mendoza in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 4–1. Across all meetings Coria has taken 3 sets to Baena's 8. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Forte Village Sardegna Open - Sardinia (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Coria | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Coria | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 4/6 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 3/14 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 4/4 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Coria 1, Carballes Baena 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 13, 2020
Forte Village Sardegna Open - Sardinia
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 3, 2017
Biella
C Clay · Round of 16
Jun 10, 2017
Poprad Tatry
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 9, 2016
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 7, 2016
Mendoza
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Coria | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Coria | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.91 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -9.0% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.72u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Coria's 0%).
| Opponent | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Forti | L 46 26 | W 36 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Taro Daniel
Bastad
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon
Jun 22
Nicolas Kicker
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–47 matches
| Metric | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 55% |
| Sets won | 42% | 54% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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