Federico Coria vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Federico Coria
#843 · 34 yrs · R
5 meetings · sets 3–8
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wFederico Coria and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 5 times since 2016; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Mendoza in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 4–1. Across all meetings Coria has taken 3 sets to Baena's 8. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Forte Village Sardegna Open - Sardinia (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Coria | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Coria | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 4/7 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 9% | 1/11 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 4/18 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 5/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Coria 1, Carballes Baena 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roberto Carballes Baena.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 13, 2020
Forte Village Sardegna Open - Sardinia
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 3, 2017
Biella
C Clay · Round of 16
Jun 10, 2017
Poprad Tatry
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 9, 2016
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 7, 2016
Mendoza
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Coria | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Coria | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.57 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -57.2% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.86u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ARG | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Coria's 0%).
| Opponent | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Forti | L 46 26 | W 36 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Eduardo Ribeiro
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Lucio Ratti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Clement Chidekh
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Vitaliy Sachko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Taro Daniel
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–47 matches
| Metric | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 51% |
| Sets won | 38% | 51% |
| Games won | 46% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Coria | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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