Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทFacundo Diaz Acosta
#82 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
4wTitle3 meetings ยท sets 1โ6

๐ฆ๐ทJuan Manuel Cerundolo
#51 ยท 24 yrs ยท L
3Facundo Diaz Acosta and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2020; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Punta Del Este Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 3โ0. Cerundolo has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 1 sets to Cerundolo's 6. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Modena Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 35/57 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 31/79 | 39% | 22/57 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 27/61 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 35/47 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 0, Manuel Cerundolo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Cerundolo
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 2, 2025
Modena Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Oct 23, 2022
Coquimbo 2 Challenger
C Clay ยท Final
Jan 27, 2020
Punta Del Este Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 11/22 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18โ5 | 9โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.79 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | +57.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.25u | +8.04u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | SMR | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Acosta's 44%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | W 46 63 64 | W 67 64 63 |
| Zdenek Kolar | W 60 62 | W 46 63 64 |
| Gustavo Heide | L 26 26 | W 64 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Cristian Garin | L 62 36 36 | L 67 57 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | W 62 63 | W 36 64 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 36 | W 62 63 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 75 46 67 | L 57 16 |
| Christoph Negritu | W 64 67 76 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 63โ81 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 62% |
| Sets won | 65% | 57% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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