Ergi Kirkin vs Ilya IvashkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ergi Kirkin and Ilya Ivashka have met 2 times since 2020; Ilya Ivashka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Istanbul Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Ivashka leads 2–0. Ivashka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kirkin has taken 1 sets to Ivashka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ilya Ivashka won at Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kirkin | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ergi Kirkin | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 26/32 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 14/58 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 28/32 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kirkin 0, Ivashka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kirkin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ivashka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Ergi Kirkin and Ilya Ivashka are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 19, 2020
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kirkin | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ergi Kirkin | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kirkin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -29.6% | -30.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.14u | -2.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kirkin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → GER | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ivashka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kirkin's 0%).
| Opponent | Kirkin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Aziz Ouakaa | L 46 36 | W 61 60 |
| Hazem Naow | L 36 57 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
David Eichenseher
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Andrej Nedic
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Ilya Ivashka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paul Inchauspe
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
William Mirarchi
M15 Bucharest · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Valentin Vanta
M15 Bucharest · 1st Round
Jul 8
Hazem Naow
M15 Amstelveen · 1st Round
Jul 1
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ergi Kirkin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aziz Ouakaa
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Iliyan Radulov
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–58 matches
| Metric | Kirkin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 61% |
| Sets won | 55% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kirkin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kirkin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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