Emiliana Arango vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Emiliana Arango
#160 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
42 meetings · sets 0–4
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Emiliana Arango and Iga Swiatek have met 2 times since 2025; Iga Swiatek leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–0. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Arango has taken 0 sets to Swiatek's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arango | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emiliana Arango | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 57% | 32/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 11/28 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 27% | 3/11 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arango 0, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arango
⚙️ Grinder
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 68% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 26, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arango | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emiliana Arango | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.61 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | -38.2% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.58u | +0.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GER → ESP | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arango's 40%).
| Opponent | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Marie Bouzkova | L | W 76 76 |
| Nadia Podoroska | W 46 75 63 | W 63 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 36 06 | W 61 67 63 |
| Maya Joint | W 76 64 | W 61 61 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 26 63 67 | W 57 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ayla Aksu
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round
Oct 6
Anna Blinkova
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 28
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Carol Young Suh Lee
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–58 matches
| Metric | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 72% |
| Sets won | 38% | 70% |
| Games won | 46% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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