Emiliana Arango vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Emiliana Arango
#84 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Emiliana Arango and Iga Swiatek have met 2 times since 2025; Iga Swiatek leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–0. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Arango has taken 0 sets to Swiatek's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arango | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emiliana Arango | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 15/19 | 79% | 34/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 7/27 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/46 | 33% | 20/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 9/16 | 57% | 33/58 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 77% | 34/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arango 0, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arango
🎾 All-Court
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 706 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 26, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arango | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emiliana Arango | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.71 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | -18.2% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arango's 20%).
| Opponent | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | L 36 06 | W 61 67 63 |
| Maya Joint | W 76 64 | W 61 61 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 26 63 67 | W 57 61 61 |
| Kayla Day | L 57 26 | W 60 76 |
| Suzan Lamens | L 16 26 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Venus Williams
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Paula Badosa
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Lea Nilsson
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 6
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Maya Joint
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–60 matches
| Metric | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 72% |
| Sets won | 44% | 69% |
| Games won | 48% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arango | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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