Elmer Moller vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elmer Moller and Thiago Monteiro have met 2 times since 2025; Elmer Moller leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Oeiras 4 Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Moller leads 2–0. Moller has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moller has taken 4 sets to Monteiro's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elmer Moller won at Braga Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moller | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elmer Moller | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 44% | 24/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 16/29 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 15/23 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 12/18 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moller 0, Monteiro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moller
🧱 The Wall
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🧱 The Wall vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 108 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 5, 2026
Braga Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 15, 2025
Oeiras 4 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moller | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elmer Moller | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moller | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–9 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -11.1% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.10u | +1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moller | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | ITA | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Monteiro's 40%).
| Opponent | Moller | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Vilius Gaubas | W 62 46 64 | L 67 67 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | W 75 62 | L 36 46 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | L 46 16 | W 64 62 |
| Andy Andrade | W 75 62 | L 64 46 46 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 36 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Vilius Gaubas
Braga Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Tiago Pereira
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Zsombor Piros
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Thiago Monteiro
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Carlos Taberner
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–54 matches
| Metric | Moller | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 61% |
| Sets won | 54% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moller | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moller | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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