Elmer Moller vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elmer Moller and Hugo Gaston have met 1 time since 2026; Elmer Moller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moller has taken 2 sets to Gaston's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elmer Moller won at Mutua Madrid Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moller | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elmer Moller | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 16/29 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 15/23 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 12/18 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moller 1, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moller
🧱 The Wall
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hugo Gaston.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moller | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elmer Moller | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–9 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -11.1% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.10u | -0.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | ITA | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Moller's 40%).
| Opponent | Moller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | L 16 36 | W 46 76 64 |
| Marko Topo | W 64 75 | W 61 62 |
| Federico Cina | W 64 76 | W 75 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 26 26 | L 62 46 26 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 36 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Vilius Gaubas
Braga Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Tiago Pereira
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Zsombor Piros
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Thiago Monteiro
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Carlos Taberner
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–60 matches
| Metric | Moller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 57% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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