Elina Svitolina vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#9 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wElina Svitolina and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2021; Elina Svitolina leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Eastbourne International - Eastbourne in 2021 on grass. Svitolina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 20/54 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 21/39 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 31/32 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 17, 2025
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jun 22, 2021
Eastbourne International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Badosa's 33%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Katarzyna Kawa | W 62 61 | W 75 64 |
| Daria Snigur | L 57 26 | L 16 67 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 75 | L 16 36 |
| Eva Lys | W 63 62 | L 62 57 46 |
| Coco Gauff | W 64 67 62 | W 16 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 26 64 64 | L 36 26 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 36 | L 46 26 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 62 | L 26 16 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 36 62 63 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Amanda Anisimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–54 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 59% |
| Sets won | 67% | 59% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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