Elina Svitolina vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#6 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Elina Svitolina and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2021; Elina Svitolina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Eastbourne International - Eastbourne in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Svitolina leads 2–0. Svitolina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 28/45 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 25/46 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 35/35 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 17, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 17, 2025
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jun 22, 2021
Eastbourne International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -0.64u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Badosa's 30%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 75 | W 63 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 16 64 62 | W 63 75 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 36 62 36 | L 46 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 64 67 62 | L 46 67 |
| Katarzyna Kawa | W 62 61 | W 75 64 |
| Daria Snigur | L 57 26 | L 16 67 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 75 | L 16 36 |
| Eva Lys | W 63 62 | L 62 57 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 26 64 64 | L 36 26 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 62 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–59 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 60% |
| Sets won | 68% | 59% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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