Elina Avanesyan vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇲Elina Avanesyan
#145 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4w1 meeting · sets 2–1

🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Elina Avanesyan and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2025; Elina Avanesyan leads 1–0. Across all meetings Avanesyan has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elina Avanesyan won at Brisbane (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Avanesyan | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Avanesyan | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 28/29 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Avanesyan 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Avanesyan
⚔️ The Gladiator
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 1, 2025
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Avanesyan | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Avanesyan | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Avanesyan | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +0.9% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.06u | -0.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Avanesyan | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | BRA | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Avanesyan's 60%).
| Opponent | Avanesyan | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Jazmin Ortenzi | L 16 36 | W 46 62 62 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 63 26 62 | W 61 62 |
| Varvara Lepchenko | W 46 76 63 | W 75 76 |
| Tamara Zidansek | W 75 46 63 | W 36 75 76 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | L 16 67 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Julia Riera
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 15
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Semifinals
Jul 25
Yulia Putintseva
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Arantxa Rus
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Varvara Lepchenko
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Dalila Jakupovic
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–50 matches
| Metric | Avanesyan | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 60% |
| Sets won | 61% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Avanesyan | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Avanesyan | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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