Elias Ymer vs Marco TrungellitiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Marco Trungelliti have met 4 times since 2018; Elias Ymer leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Istanbul in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Ymer leads 2–1. Ymer has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 7 sets to Trungelliti's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elias Ymer won at Wimbledon (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 23/55 | 48% | 30/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 28% | 9/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 17/31 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 17/29 | 47% | 15/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 16/29 | 53% | 18/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 1, Trungelliti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Trungelliti
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 28, 2023
Maia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 7, 2020
Aix en Provence
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
May 2, 2018
Istanbul
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–9 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 2.51 |
| ROI % | -55.8% | -2.8% |
| Units P/L | -7.25u | -0.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 5,160 mi · 8,304 km |
| Route | CHN | POL → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Ymer and Trungelliti posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Ymer | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Pavel Kotov | L 63 36 67 | W 67 64 62 |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | L | W 36 61 61 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 64 64 | L 67 63 16 |
| Martin Damm | L 36 57 | L 67 76 67 67 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 76 46 64 | L 62 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Landaluce
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Filip Pieczonka
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Sean Cuenin
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Tiago Pereira
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–68 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 53% |
| Sets won | 50% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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