Edward Winter vs Hiroki MoriyaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Edward Winter and Hiroki Moriya have met 1 time since 2026; Edward Winter leads 1–0. Across all meetings Winter has taken 2 sets to Moriya's 1. Their most recent meeting: Edward Winter won at Cary challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Winter | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Edward Winter | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 18/27 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 11/24 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 20/51 | 39% | 20/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Winter 0, Moriya 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Winter
🪃 Counterpuncher
Moriya
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Edward Winter.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Cary challenger
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Winter | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Edward Winter | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Winter | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -21.1% | -29.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | -2.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Winter | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,617 mi · 2,602 km | — |
| Route | USA → JAM | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Winter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Moriya's 20%).
| Opponent | Winter | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Broom | L 62 36 26 | L 26 16 |
| Timo Legout | L 57 57 | L 26 36 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 46 63 62 | W 64 26 62 |
| Andre Ilagan | W 63 62 | L 26 67 |
| Marek Gengel | W 64 76 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Gonzalo Bueno
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
John Chin
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bernard Tomic
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Moise Kouame
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Strong Kirchheimer
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Winter | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 49% |
| Sets won | 53% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Winter | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Winter | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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