Dustin Brown vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dustin Brown and Mackenzie McDonald have met 1 time since 2025; Mackenzie McDonald leads 1–0. Across all meetings Brown has taken 0 sets to McDonald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Dallas (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Brown | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dustin Brown | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 65% | 13/20 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 32% | 9/28 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 33% | 16/48 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 42% | 11/26 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 37% | 7/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 24% | 4/17 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 74% | 14/19 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 68% | 13/19 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Brown 0, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Brown
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dustin Brown.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 7, 2025
Dallas
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Brown | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.21 |
| ROI % | - | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Brown | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mackenzie McDonald
Dallas · Round of 16
Jul 7
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Mercedes Cup - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 8
Filip Horansky
Split 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 12
Duje Ajdukovic
Split 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 6
Gregoire Barrere
Lille Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 24
Mathias Bourgue
Lille Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 22
Jonas Forejtek
Biella 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 16
Mathias Bourgue
Lille · Round of 32
Mar 12
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Brown | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 41% |
| Sets won | - | 43% |
| Games won | - | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Brown | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Brown | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.