Donna Vekic vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Donna Vekic and Jelena Ostapenko have met 2 times since 2017; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 3 sets to Ostapenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 18/51 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 27/37 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 22/37 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 1, Ostapenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
🤖 Servebot
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 26, 2023
WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 1, 2017
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vekic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Donna Vekic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Vekic's 22%).
| Opponent | Vekic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Xin Yu Wang | L 16 26 | L 64 46 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | W 64 75 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 46 26 | L 64 46 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 64 36 06 | L 75 26 46 |
| Katie Volynets | W 63 36 64 | W 64 76 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 26 36 | L 64 36 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 76 76 | L |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 60 36 26 | W 75 64 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | L 62 36 57 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Lin Zhu
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Xin Yu Wang
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ann Li
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Talia Gibson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–51 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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