Dominik Palan vs Hiroki MoriyaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Phan Thiet 3 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 6 · 12:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.40 or shorter, Hiroki Moriya has won 28 of 35 (80%). The price implied 72%, so Hiroki Moriya has beaten it by 8 points.
At 2.73 or longer, Dominik Palan has won 8 of 34 (24%). The price implied 29%, so Dominik Palan has fallen 5 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Hiroki Moriya and Dominik Palan meet in the 1st Round of the Phan Thiet 3 Challenger on September 6 on hard court. Moriya, ranked 518th, has won three matches in the last two weeks but fell in his most recent outing. Palan sits at 506th and has played only twice in that span, most recently suffering a loss.
The two have never faced each other. Moriya has compiled a 9-11 record on hard courts in recent play, while Palan stands at 10-10 on the surface. Both men enter on single-match losing streaks; Moriya has taken a 3-2 tumble over his last five, while Palan has dropped four of five.
Moriya operates as a counterpuncher who thrives on breaking down opponents from the baseline, whereas Palan relies on power and aggression off both wings. The contrast in their approaches will shape the match's rhythm. Moriya has posted three wins in his last two weeks of play, while Palan has won just one of his last five. How each player manages the other's strengths and converts his own opportunities will define the contest.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Palan | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dominik Palan | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 27/35 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 21% | 6/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 16/61 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 19/32 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 68% | 15/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Palan
💥 Big Hitter
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,718 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dominik Palan.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Palan and Moriya have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Palan | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dominik Palan | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Palan | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | +20.4% | -29.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.25u | -3.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Palan | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,801 mi · 4,508 km | — |
| Route | KAZ → CHN | TPE → CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moriya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Palan's 0%).
| Opponent | Palan | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| James McCabe | L 46 26 | L 46 36 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | L 26 26 | W 64 26 62 |
| Karol Filar | L 64 46 26 | W 60 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Ji Sung Nam
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Semen Pankin
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Pavlos Tsitsipas
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Yanki Erel
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Max Basing
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Segovia Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Kasidit Samrej
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
S D Prajwal Dev
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Grigoriy Lomakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Patrick Maloney
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–62 matches
| Metric | Palan | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 49% |
| Sets won | 56% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |