Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Dmitry Popko
#658 · 29 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 2–4
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#254 · 25 yrs · R
4Dmitry Popko and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 2 times since 2021; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Todi Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Almeida leads 2–0. Almeida has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Popko has taken 2 sets to Almeida's 4. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Bogota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popko | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dmitry Popko | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 72% | 31/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 13/37 | 35% | 24/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 7/13 | 45% | 18/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 84% | 38/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 69% | 31/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popko 0, Pucinelli De Almeida 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popko
🪃 Counterpuncher
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 14, 2021
Todi Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popko | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dmitry Popko | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 82% | 23/28 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 36% | 10/28 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 11% | 3/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popko | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 16–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.36u | +2.45u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popko | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | — | 454 mi · 731 km |
| Route | SRB | GER → GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Popko and Almeida posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Popko | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar | W 61 60 | W 61 63 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | L 26 64 46 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 29
Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Edouard Villoslada
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Egor Khotchenkov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Peter Makk
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Dylan Dietrich
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Max Schoenhaus
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Florian Broska
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–68 matches
| Metric | Popko | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 63% |
| Sets won | 55% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popko | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popko | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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