Diego Sebastian Schwartzman vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
Unranked
88w5 meetings · sets 3–10
🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta
#74 · 35 yrs · R
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 5 times since 2017; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2017 on hard. On clay courts Busta leads 3–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Busta has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Schwartzman has taken 3 sets to Busta's 10. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sebastian Schwartzman | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diego Sebastian Schwartzman | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 60% | 18/30 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 41% | 7/17 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 40% | 19/47 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 54% | 14/26 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 55% | 11/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 73% | 8/11 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 88% | 21/24 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 75% | 18/24 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sebastian Schwartzman 0, Carreno Busta 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Schwartzman
🛡️ The Spoiler
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 59% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 26 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 15, 2022
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 24, 2022
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 23, 2021
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 16, 2017
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 6, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.57 |
| ROI % | - | -14.2% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.56u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires · 2nd Round
Feb 13
Nicolas Jarry
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires · 1st Round
Feb 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Rosario Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 5
Gael Monfils
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Vilius Gaubas
US Open · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Andrea Pellegrino
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 19
Jay Clarke
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–53 matches
| Metric | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 60% |
| Sets won | - | 58% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Schwartzman | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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