Dennis Novikov vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dennis Novikov and Mackenzie McDonald have met 4 times since 2016; Dennis Novikov leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Knoxville in 2016 on hard. On grass courts Novikov leads 2–0. Novikov has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Novikov has taken 6 sets to McDonald's 3. Their most recent meeting: Dennis Novikov won at Surbiton (2017).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Novikov | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dennis Novikov | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 65% | 13/20 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 32% | 9/28 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 33% | 16/48 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 42% | 11/26 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 37% | 7/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 24% | 4/17 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 74% | 14/19 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 68% | 13/19 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Novikov 2, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Novikov
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dennis Novikov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 6, 2017
Surbiton
G Grass · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 3, 2017
Ilkley
G Grass · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 12, 2017
Tallahassee
C Clay · Round of 32
Nov 10, 2016
Knoxville
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Novikov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.21 |
| ROI % | - | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Novikov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
JC Aragone
Knoxville · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 7
Liam Draxl
Puerto Vallarta · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cary · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 1
Evan Song
Cleveland · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Ante Pavic
Cleveland · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Aleksandr Nedovyesov
Cary · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 9
Felix Corwin
Calgary Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 25
Alex Rybakov
Calgary · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 24
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Novikov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 41% |
| Sets won | - | 43% |
| Games won | - | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Novikov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Novikov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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