Denis Shapovalov vs Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez have met 1 time since 2026; Denis Shapovalov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 2 sets to Mendez's 0. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Pacheco Mendez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 67% | 20/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Pacheco Mendez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Mendez
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Mendez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -15.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | -1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 691 mi · 1,112 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | MEX → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mendez's 50%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 63 76 61 | W 64 61 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 62 36 64 | L 16 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 28
Miguel Tobon
Kingston 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Paul Jubb
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Tomas Barrios Vera
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sho Shimabukuro
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–56 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 54% |
| Sets won | 44% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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